پیش بینی

List of Articles پیش بینی

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1 - Introduction of Foresight: A look into initial experience of Japan, Germany and Iran
Omid Majd Rahim Abadi Afsoon Fahtollahi

According to this fact that undoubtedly in this competitive and complex world foresight is unavoidable; this article is trying to not only showing the necessity and emergence of the foresight but also describe some conception and to highlight the difference of foresight More

According to this fact that undoubtedly in this competitive and complex world foresight is unavoidable; this article is trying to not only showing the necessity and emergence of the foresight but also describe some conception and to highlight the difference of foresight and other similar concept like forecast. In this article the foresight will be also categorized concerning different perspective, as well as describing some common methods to performing foresight. Finally we will take a look into the first experience of the initial foresight projects in Japan and Germany and in contrary; we will discuss the initial experience of foresight projects in Iran. Manuscript profile
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2 - Soft Technology and Forth Generation of Technology Foresight
Mohammadreza Mirza amini Zhiuoeing Jin

This article elaborates earlier arguments about the practical and intellectual value of soft technology by showing how the enlightened application of that concept in the field of technology foresight (or technological forecasting) would improve the effectiveness of the More

This article elaborates earlier arguments about the practical and intellectual value of soft technology by showing how the enlightened application of that concept in the field of technology foresight (or technological forecasting) would improve the effectiveness of the field. It also shows how the evolution of technology foresight as a profession and academic field has, in its own way, facilitated the development of soft technology. It also argues that technology foresight techniques are themselves an example of soft technology. Manuscript profile
Open Access Article
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3 - Strategic Policy Intelligence
Mohammadreza Mirza amini

In the present information age, methodologies that help structure, combine and interpret information are getting more and more importance as decision support tools. Techniques like Technology Forecasting, Technology Assessment and Technology Foresight are used in order More

In the present information age, methodologies that help structure, combine and interpret information are getting more and more importance as decision support tools. Techniques like Technology Forecasting, Technology Assessment and Technology Foresight are used in order to generate knowledge about current technological developments and derive possible future trajectories. The present report regards these three techniques within the perspective of Strategic Intelligence, which focuses on their role as instruments supporting decision-making processes. The general introduction on the field of Strategic Intelligence in chapter one reveals the general role of Strategic Intelligence in technology-related decision-making processes. Then summarize the main contents of the three individual reports on Technology Forecast,Technology Assessment and Technology Foresight. By focusing on the decision-maker, each report provides an overview of the characteristics and current state of the art, shows their main strengths, and identifies overlaps and synergies. Finally, presents a concluding critique of Strategic Intelligence and reveals how these three techniques could be used for obtaining a complete picture of possible technological developments. Manuscript profile

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List of Articles پیش بینی